Updated at 9:45 a.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 16, 2025

The National Hurricane Center has a clean slate for the next seven days. After that time, the various computer forecasts continue to show a decent chance that the tropical disturbance over the far eastern Atlantic will track into the Caribbean next week and eventually develop.

The models show a weather pattern over the central and western Caribbean that would be conducive to the disturbance organizing, and some show strengthening, if the system gets that far.

On the current schedule, the disturbance will arrive at the southeastern Caribbean islands – the Windward Islands – Sunday or Monday and begin organizing two or three days later in the central or southern Caribbean Sea.

There is no indication that the system would be very strong w

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