Prime Minister Mark Carney recently visited Washington, where he expressed optimism about the relationship between Canada and the United States. This connection is crucial for both nations, especially for Canada, which relies heavily on U.S. markets, tourism, and military support. Historically, smaller nations have sought alliances with larger powers to enhance their security and economic prospects.

Canada's economy has struggled in recent years, facing challenges such as tariffs. As a result, the country may find itself needing to align with one of two major global alliances: one led by the U.S. and the other by China, which has strong ties to Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Some believe that leaning towards China could offer Canada a path to greater independence. However, Carney has acknowledged the geopolitical risks posed by China, particularly in the Arctic, where he views its ambitions as a significant threat to Canadian prosperity and security.

The Canadian military is already taking steps to monitor China's aggressive actions, alongside those of Russia. While Carney may hope for support from the European Union or other nations, he recognizes that only the U.S. has the capacity to effectively counter Chinese influence. Despite the challenges posed by the current U.S. administration, Carney believes that maintaining a strong alliance with the U.S. is essential.

Carney's recent suggestion to revive the Keystone XL pipeline indicates a recognition of the geographical and economic ties that bind Canada and the U.S. In a world increasingly influenced by China, Canada must consider the implications of aligning with a nation that seeks to establish vassal states rather than fostering competitive partners.

China's strategy focuses on securing resources and markets, particularly in regions like Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America. By investing in these areas, China aims to ensure a steady supply of raw materials and food, reducing its reliance on North American exports. This approach has led to significant investments in African agricultural infrastructure, positioning China as a key player in the continent's food security.

However, China's Belt and Road Initiative has also resulted in deep debt for many countries, leading to a loss of control over critical infrastructure. For Canada, aligning with China could mean becoming a resource and tourist colony, further entrenching its dependence on exports of oil, gas, minerals, and agricultural products. While some Canadian corporations may benefit from increased trade with China, this shift could come at the expense of the broader Canadian economy, particularly for the middle and working classes.

As Canada navigates its future, the choices it makes regarding international alliances will have lasting implications for its economy and security.