A tropical wave is threatening Caribbean islands. If it develops, the storm would be named Melissa.

Let’s break down where this wave is, how strong it may become and where this wave could go.

The wave designated as Invest 98L is currently located in the eastern Caribbean Sea. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph, but is expected to slow down over the next few days. As the wave slows down, it is expected to enter a more favorable environment for development. This system will likely impact the ABC islands later this week. There’s still considerable uncertainty as to where this system will go this weekend and beyond.

With the wave being designated as in invest, model data is continuously run to see where the storm may track.

As of this morning, there’s general agreement from models that

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