Opposition leader Vincent Tarzia would lose his seat if the election were held today, with the SA Liberals facing a wipe-out in all its metropolitan seats, according to data compiled by DemosAU/Ace Strategies Poll.

The respected pollster surveyed 1,006 South Australians on their views and was conducted via internal panel from October 6 to 15, 2025, with an effective margin of error of 3.9 per cent each way.

The independent political polling showed little traction for the SA Liberals as the March 2026 state election loomed, with Premier Peter Malinauskas listed as preferred premier by 58 per cent of voters compared to Tarzia’s 19 per cent, while 23 per cent said they “don’t know”.

South Australian Labor was predicted to trounce Tarzia’s party by 66 to 34 per cent on a two-party preferred

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