TAMPA, Fla. - Tropical Storm Melissa is expected to strengthen into a hurricane as it moves over warmer waters in the Caribbean Sea by the end of this weekend.

As you can tell by the cone, there is a wide range of places this storm may track over the next five days. Competing steering currents are tugging Melissa in different directions, keeping the track slow and uncertain in the short term.

As of Wednesday evening, it was located at 14.4°N 74.3°W, which is about 300 miles to the south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

Weather models are slowly beginning to agree on an eventual north-northeast turn. Steering keeps Melissa south and east of Florida for now. From Tampa Bay’s view, it is something to watch, not to stress over.

The big question is when will that turn come, and how c

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