The 12th Senate vote to end the shutdown failed 54-46.

Most Democrats are still refusing to support any legislation that doesn’t restore cuts to Medicaid and extend expiring subsidies under the Affordable Care Act.

Betting odds on Polymarket show that 44.5%, a plurality, think that it will end on Nov. 16 or later.

The U.S. Senate is in recess until next week, meaning that the now 24-day-long government shutdown is likely to continue at least through the weekend.

The last vote on a stopgap bill to fund the government through Nov. 21 failed after a 54-46 vote on Oct. 23. While three senators who caucus with Democrats, including Maine Independent Sen. Angus King, have joined Republicans to support the bill, they need another five to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to pass.

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