Wait, the Green Bay Packers went down?! I mean, it wasn’t the best win ever, but it was still a win, right?

Yes, it was, and the Packers are still third overall, which is very good! But it wasn’t the most convincing win while the Lions were beating the stuffings out of a good, fun Buccaneers team. Green Bay is still good on efficiency metrics where they’re sixth in DVOA (Detroit is second) and fifth in EPA (Detroit is fourth), but the scouts at PFF and the betting markets are starting to notice that, well, the Lions look quite a bit better even if they did lose head to head.

You see that same confidence developing around Kansas City even though they’re just 4-3 and third place in their division. The Chiefs’ three losses are all one-score affairs while every win has been at least 13 point

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