India’s crude oil imports from the US are on an upward trajectory, with cargoes likely to hit around 5,75,000 barrels per day (b/d) in October 2025, as Washington ups the pressure on New Delhi.

According to the global real-time data and analytics provider Kpler, India’s crude imports from the US have risen to their highest since 2022, reaching 5,40,000 b/d as of October 27, with the month likely to close at around 5,75,000 b/d and November around 4,00,000 b/d, per US export data. This is a sharp jump from the year-to-date average of around 3,00,000 b/d.

The increase was economics-driven, supported by a strong arbitrage window, a wider Brent–WTI spread, and no Chinese demand, which made WTI Midland competitive on a delivered basis. Indian refiners capitalised on the opportunity, aided by

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