The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway pits two racing titans, Hendrick Motorsports (Chevrolet) and Joe Gibbs Racing (Toyota), against one another for the Bill France Cup. HMS fields Kyle Larson and William Byron, while JGR includes Denny Hamlin and Chase Briscoe. The 1-mile, flat oval sets for a dramatic, tactical race where the first of these four drivers to cross the finish line will be crowned the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Champion.

Hamlin’s recent race pace and Hendrick Motorsports camp’s strategy suggest that the battle for the championship trophy will ultimately come down to Larson and Hamlin, with Larson’s experience in this specific winner-take-all format likely giving him the edge for a second Cup Series title. But what are the true odds for each driver?

Finall

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