Two AFC teams looking to define their midseason identity square off in Pittsburgh today as the Colts visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium. Indianapolis enters as a 3-point favorite, backed by a 60% win probability from Dimers’ 10,000-game simulation model , while Pittsburgh aims to lean on its defense and home-field edge to even its record. With both clubs sitting in the thick of a crowded AFC playoff picture, today’s matchup carries the weight of a tone-setter—particularly for two veteran quarterbacks in search of rhythm and consistency as the season hits its stride.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET, with the total listed at 51.5 points. Dimers projects a 27–24 Colts victory , but the data also gives value to the Steelers +3 (+100) as the best bet on the board. Expect a physical, clo

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