Are fewer young people identifying as trans?

Are young Americans becoming less likely to identify as trans?

This claim is getting a lot of attention on social media after two researchers published survey data appearing to show a shift in youth gender identity.

The first analysis came from Eric Kaufmann, a Canadian professor of politics at the University of Buckingham in the United Kingdom, and a longtime anti-PC and anti-”woke” crusader. In early October, Kaufmann published a report titled “The Decline of Trans and Queer Identity Among Young Americans.”

“The transgender share among university students peaked in 2023 and has almost halved since, from nearly 7 percent to under 4 percent,” Kaufmann writes in that report.

A few days later, Jean Twenge, a professor of psychology at San Diego State University, posted on X that “trans i