If this Penn State team played No. 2 Indiana 10 times on a neutral field, the Hoosiers would probably win all 10 games.

But Curt Cignetti’s 9-0 Hoosiers have to come to Beaver Stadium for Saturday afternoon’s Big Ten matchup.

Terry Smith’s 3-5 Nittany Lions, losers of five consecutive games, are two-touchdown underdogs. They likely need some luck to keep the game close.

An upset? It could happen. Here’s how.

Play keep away. A major reason why Penn State almost beat Iowa – aside from a blocked kick return for a score – was the Lions’ huge edge in time of possession. PSU ran it 46 times for 173 yards and two scores. The Lions had the ball for 36:12.

When Iowa played Indiana in Iowa City in late September, the Hawkeyes limited the Hoosiers to 27:18 of possession time. IU won, 20-1

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