China’s emissions to peak later than previously forecast, experts say

China’s carbon emissions are expected to peak later than previously forecast, a survey of climate experts finds.

Only one in five surveyed experts believe China’s emissions have already peaked or will peak this year, the fourth edition of Chinaʼs Climate Transition Outlook showed on Thursday.

Seven in 10 experts said they expected emissions to peak by the end of the decade with 2028 chosen as the likely peak year by the greatest number of respondents, according to the survey.

In 2024’s survey, 44 percent of respondents said they expected emissions to peak in 2025 or earlier.

The survey is conducted annually by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air and the International Society for Energy Transition Studies, based in Helsinki, Finland, and Sydney, Australia, respectively.

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