It’s been a rough start to the year for On Paper, as the Detroit Lions’ games have rarely gone as the statistics have suggested this year. This week, there appears to be a significant statistical advantage between the Lions and the Washington Commanders. But will that result in another upset victory, and will the numbers finally not lie?

Let’s take a closer look at the Lions vs. Commanders Week 10 matchup in our On Paper preview and prediction.

Lions pass offense (10th in DVOA) vs. Commanders pass defense (24th)

By the basic statistics, you’d never know that the Lions’ offense is actually starting to struggle a bit. They’re second in passer rating for the season (116.5) and sixth in yards per attempt (8.0). But a little bit of a deeper dive highlights what’s not working in the passing g

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