After President Donald Trump announced that he would give a $2,000 check to every American from the tariff revenue collected by the administration, an overwhelming majority of pundits on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, predicted the checks would not materialize in 2025.

Trump’s $2,000 Tariff Checks Predicted As Unlikely

Earlier this year, Trump announced tariffs on trading partners including China, Canada, Mexico, and the EU. On Sunday, he wrote in a social media post , “A dividend of at least $2000 a person (not including high income people!) will be paid to everyone.”

Claiming that America is now the “Richest, Most Respected Country In the World, With Almost No Inflation, and A Record Stock Market Price. 401k’s are Highest EVER,” Trump said the country will soon b

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