PORTLAND, Ore. — After months of gloomy economic warnings, Oregon's latest forecast offers a bit of good news, suggesting the state is pulling back from the cliff's edge of recession, though it may be too soon — or too broad — for Oregonians to feel this pullback in their everyday lives, like at the grocery store and with other household necessities.

"The message to everyday Oregonians is that it is important that the overarching trend is the state avoiding a recession and the national economy avoiding a recession," said Carl Riccadonna, state chief economist. "But that does not mean that individuals are not experiencing a more severe slowdown in the economy."

For instance, Riccadonna says there's slowing wage growth for lower incomes. Given grocery store prices, upper-income households

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