A recent study highlights the potential flooding of thousands of hazardous sites in the United States due to rising sea levels linked to climate change. Researchers estimate that over 5,500 sites, which include sewage treatment plants, oil refineries, and other industrial facilities, could be at risk of flooding by the year 2100. The study, published in a scientific journal, indicates that more than 3,800 of these sites may face flooding as early as 2050.
The research, led by Lara Cushing, an associate professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, emphasizes the urgency of addressing this issue. "Our goal with this analysis was to try to get ahead of the problem by looking far out into the future," Cushing said. The study suggests that if greenhouse gas emissions continue unchecked, the risks to these sites will increase significantly.
The states most vulnerable to flooding at these hazardous sites include Florida, New Jersey, California, Louisiana, New York, Massachusetts, and Texas. Together, these states account for nearly 80% of the at-risk locations. Cushing noted that many U.S. coastlines are heavily industrialized, making them particularly susceptible to flooding.
The study also found that marginalized communities, including low-income neighborhoods and communities of color, are disproportionately affected by the risks associated with flooding at these sites. Researchers classified neighborhoods based on their proximity to hazardous sites and assessed various social vulnerability metrics, such as income and access to transportation. Cushing stated, "Low-income communities, communities of color, and communities with low levels of voter turnout are more likely to live near sites of future flood risk."
Climate change is accelerating sea level rise, with projections indicating an increase of about 11 inches along the U.S. coastline by 2050. This rise is attributed to melting glaciers and thermal expansion of seawater. The Gulf Coast, particularly Louisiana and Texas, is of special concern due to the concentration of petrochemical industries in low-lying areas.
The researchers created a database of nearly 50,000 industrial and contaminated sites across 23 coastal states and Puerto Rico. They assessed the flood risks for these locations under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. The findings indicate that even moderate reductions in emissions could significantly decrease the number of at-risk sites by the end of the century.
Potential health risks from flooding at these sites are significant. Exposure to contaminated floodwaters can lead to serious health issues, including gastrointestinal illnesses and respiratory problems. Sacoby Wilson, a professor at the University of Maryland, warned that individuals living near industrial sites could face exposure to harmful chemicals and heavy metals, which may exacerbate existing health conditions.
The study underscores the need for proactive measures to mitigate these risks. Cushing emphasized the importance of developing emergency preparedness plans and cleanup strategies for contaminated sites. Rachel Morello-Frosch, a co-author of the study, added that coastal communities, especially underserved groups, require access to critical data and resources to enhance their resilience to climate change.
The researchers concluded that while some risks are already locked in due to past emissions, there is still time to implement mitigation strategies to prevent the most severe outcomes. They called for increased attention to disaster planning and land-use decision-making to address the inequities posed by rising sea levels.

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