The Houston Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts 20-16 on Sunday , throwing a wrench into the AFC South playoff picture . The Jacksonville Jaguars are now tied with the Colts for first place with matching 8-4 records. Houston is just a game behind at 7-5 with recent wins over both clubs. How do the models see the AFC South playing out after the big Texans win?

The Athletic puts weight on the Texans' next game.

According to The Athletic's playoff model , the Texans have the worst chance of making the playoffs of the three AFC South teams. Houston sits at 61%, while Jacksonville has an 85% chance of making the dance, and Indy is at 72%. All three teams play massive games in Week 14, but the attention will be on Jaguars vs Colts in Jacksonville. On Sunday Night Football, the Texans pl

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