Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) reacts at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.

The Denver Nuggets (14-6) hit the road to face the Indiana Pacers (4-17) Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Denver leads 1-0

Denver lost 131-121 to the Dallas Mavericks Monday. The Nuggets failed to cover as an 11-point home favorite as the Over (235.5) cashed. C Nikola Jokic finished with 29 points, 20 rebounds and 13 assists, and rookie F Spencer Jones erupted for 28 points. G Jamal Murray (ankle) was forced to leave the game in the third quarter for the Nuggets, who have lost 4 straight at home.

Indiana lost 135-119 to the Cleveland Cavaliers Monday. The Pacers failed to cover as a 5-point home underdog, and the Over (232) hit. F Pascal Siakam led the team with 26 points, but Cavaliers G Donovan Mitchell scored 43. The Pacers were outrebounded 48-36 and committed 14 turnovers (compared to 9 for the Cavaliers).

The Nuggets dominated the Pacers 117-100 Nov. 8, covering as 9-point home favorites with the Under (235) cashing. Jokic had 32 points, 14 rebounds and 14 assists on 10-of-14 shooting as Denver dominated 72-42 in the paint.

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Nuggets at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -325 (bet $325 to win $100) | Pacers +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -7.5 (-115) | Pacers +7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Nuggets at Pacers key injuries

Nuggets

G Christian Braun (ankle) out
F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) out
C Nikola Jokic (wrist) probable
G Jamal Murray (ankle) questionable
G Julian Strawther (back) out

Pacers

G Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) out
G Quenton Jackson (hamstring) out
F Aaron Nesmith (knee) out
F Obi Toppin (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Pacers 120

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets, while banged up, are still much better than the Pacers and will have no problem winning here as -325 favorites. However, Denver is not worth the risk of backing as such a heavy favorite, so pass and bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN PACERS +7.5 (-105).

Denver is just 3-5 ATS in its last 8 games, including outings in which the Nuggets failed to cover against teams like the New Orleans Pelicans, Chicago Bulls, Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks. On the other hand, the Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and are 2-1-1 ATS in their last 4 matchups against the Nuggets in Indiana.

The Nuggets were already missing a ton of defense without Gordon and Braun, but now that Murray will likely be out for this contest, their offense takes just as big a hit. Look for the Pacers to capitalize on Denver’s injuries to keep this one close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 235.5 (-115).

With Indiana ranking in the bottom 10 in both scoring defense and defensive rating, this Nuggets offense -- which sits first in both points per game and offensive rating -- will score at will. Furthermore, the Pacers really have no defensive threat at center, so look for Jokic to have a very efficient and high-scoring outing here to push this one over 235 points.

The Over has also hit in all of Denver’s last 5 games, sitting at 8-2 in Denver’s last 10 outings.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Payton Shanks, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect