The Home Depot logo appears in this illustration taken August 18, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Savyata Mishra

Dec 9 (Reuters) - Home improvement chain Home Depot on Tuesday forecast fiscal 2026 comparable sales growth and profit below analysts' estimates as demand for do-it-yourself projects and big-ticket items cools.

Shares of the company were down about 1% in afternoon trading as the retailer outlined financial targets at its first investor day in more than two years.

Home Depot customers were feeling a certain level of uncertainty, which is expected to persist next year as "we have not yet seen a catalyst or an inflection in housing activity," finance chief Richard McPhail said on an investor conference call.

U.S. housing demand has been choppy due to rising unemployment and high home prices. Meanwhile, easing U.S. interest and mortgage rates had failed to aid a recovery, with the company projecting a bigger drop in fiscal 2025 profit in its latest quarterly earnings.

Retailers such as Home Depot and Lowe's are under pressure as Americans curb spending on costly home renovations and big-ticket projects due to higher borrowing costs.

Home Depot expects same-store sales for fiscal 2026 to grow in the range of flat to 2%, below the average of analysts' expectations of 2.34%, according to data compiled by LSEG.

It forecast adjusted earnings-per-share to be flat to 4% higher. Analysts had estimated the company's EPS to grow 5.6%.

"We believe that the pressures in housing will correct and provide the home improvement market with support for growth faster than the general economy," McPhail said in a statement earlier in the day.

TD Cowen analysts view the forecast as "a reasonable starting point" that could set the ground for a recovery once momentum in housing and large projects begins to build.

The company stock has shed about 10% of its value this year, compared with a 16% rise in the broader S&P 500 index.

(Reporting by Savyata Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo)