Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 ( VOO 1.08% ) has increased about 10% annually on average . Barring a catastrophe in the final weeks of this year, the S&P 500 will have an above-average year in 2025, considering the year-to-date gain is 17%. In fact, 2025 is on pace to be the third consecutive year of significantly above-average returns.

After three years of above-average returns, many investors feel that the stock market is barreling full speed toward a cliff. The temptation is to sell stocks now and start buying again after the market crashes . But is a crash truly just around the corner? Is there a historical pattern that investors can use to inform their investment decisions right now?

I believe there is a historical trend worth watching. In fact, it may be the only

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