If you don't want spoilers for the 2025 NFL season , look away.

I typically write about the NFL in terms of probabilities -- the chance the Eagles repeat as Super Bowl champions, the probability the Bengals get back to the playoffs, the odds the Browns are actually the best team in football (OK, maybe not that one).

But every so often, we need to inject certainty into a forecast. After all, the upcoming NFL season will play out only one way. So why not simulate the season one time and see what happens?

That's what we're doing here. We're detailing the story of a single simulation from ESPN's Football Power Index , which normally uses 10,000 simulations to build its projections. To be clear, this is not my prediction or ESPN Analytics' prediction of how this season will unfold. (

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