Remember Invest 91L, that tropical wave that had a high chance of becoming a tropical disturbance? Well, this same wave's tropical development chances wind down, and it now has no opportunity to develop in the short or long term.

What happened?

In the note published on Wednesday, we mentioned the dry air in place over the Caribbean. There is another mass of dry air, moving ahead of what was Invest 91L, which has significantly limited the chances of this disturbance developing. When we look behind it, there is a layer of Saharan dust moving right behind it, which will continue to move west, a bit faster above it, and continue to choke this system, preventing it from developing altogether.

Good reminder

This serves as a great example of why we shouldn't completely rely on one model, and

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