Updated at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, Sept. 9, 2025.⁠

Broadly hostile conditions continue to dominate the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf. There are no signs of any tropical development this week, and development next week looks limited.

Long-range computer forecasts show a fairly robust disturbance moving off Africa at the end of the week, but the consensus so far is that it will either turn north or die out. Although, as we've learned, we can't put much stock into projections for a system that hasn't even formed.

In another couple of weeks, we'll start shifting our focus to the western Caribbean and the southern Gulf. As we saw last year with the development of hurricanes Helene and Milton, some years the important storms don’t come from the tropical Atlantic. Strong hurricanes can and do

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