In last week's Six Pack, I told you how sloppy early season play had led to unders cashing at a ridiculous rate (57.6%) through the first week of the season, finishing an average of 5.07 points below the closing total. I also told you not to count on that being the case in Week 2.

Well, if we counted that prediction with my picks, I'd have gone 5-2 last week instead of 4-2, because the over bounced back in a big way. The over went 76-57 last week, cashing at a nearly identical rate (57.1%) as the unders had prior. However, the average game finished only 1.88 points above the listed total. Why? Because the books adjusted.

The average total for games in Week 0 and Week 1 was 53.43. In Week 2, it dropped to 52.45. Not enough to make up the entire gap, but enough to serve as another reminder

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