Food inflation increased to four per cent year on year in July

Food and drink inflation could climb to 5.7% by the end of the year thanks to cost pressures on manufacturers “trickling down” to supermarket shelves, a leading industry body has warned.

The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) said current prices were “steeper than anything in recent decades”.

The group – whose members make a quarter of all food and drink sold in the UK – increased its inflation outlook as a result of growing cost pressures.

It is now projecting inflation to reach 5.7% by December, having previously forecast the rate to be at 4.9% in September and 4.8% in December.

The group’s analysis of longer-term trends found that between January 2020 and July 2025, food and non-alcoholic drink prices increased by 37% – co

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