The broad, disorganized disturbance in the far eastern Atlantic doesn't seem to know what month it is. It’s trying to act like a system in the heart of hurricane season.

There's a strong consensus in the computer forecast models that the system will track toward the northeastern Caribbean late next week. There is no consensus, however, on how strong it will be when it arrives in the vicinity of the northeastern islands Thursday or Friday.

The National Hurricane Center puts the disturbance’s odds of developing into at least a tropical depression in the medium range. No development is expected for now, but the atmospheric pattern becomes more conducive to organization and strengthening after the weekend.

The various forecasts range from nothing much more than a moisture surge to a hurrica

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