The New England Patriots may have to put away the underdog card after Sunday night’s upset win over the Buffalo Bills.

New England made a massive statement by handing Buffalo its first loss of the 2025 season and first home defeat since the 2023 postseason. Mike Vrabel transforming a 4-13 team into a playoff squad looks much more feasible following the Week 5 triumph.

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) gives the Patriots a 67.1 percent chance of making the playoffs. Their 9.8 projected wins trail only four AFC teams, but six have a higher playoff probability.

New England jumped five spots to No. 17 in FPI, and the easiest remaining strength of schedule could help secure a playoff berth. The Patriots’ next three opponents (New Orleans Saints, Tennessee Titans, Cleveland Browns) are ea

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