As President Donald Trump unveils yet another comprehensive peace proposal aimed at ending the war in Gaza and securing the release of Israeli hostages, history suggests we should temper our optimism. The latest October 2025 plan—which Hamas has conditionally accepted while maintaining ambiguity on key points—follows a tragically familiar pattern that has defined Israeli-Palestinian relations for nearly eight decades.

The Current Proposal and Its Prospects

Trump’s 20-point plan calls for Hamas to release all remaining Israeli hostages and transfer control of Gaza to a technocratic Palestinian administration. The group has indicated willingness to release captives “in accordance with the exchange formula,” but remains vague about disarmament and governance, two critical components of the

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