All models show something swirling in the Caribbean toward the end of the month.

Keep an eye on the tropical wave that is located over the central Atlantic. It is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days.

Some slow development of this system is possible when it reaches the central portion of the Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week.

The GFS and the EURO, as well as some of the other AI models, show development, although model runs have not been consistent.

The formation chance through 48 hours is 0 percent, the formation chance through 7 days is 20 percent.

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