Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks best prop bets for Monday Night Football

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland.

The Houston Texans (2-3) and the Seattle Seahawks (4-2) meet Monday in Week 7 at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Texans vs. Seahawks odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 7.

The Texans entered their bye week riding high after dominating the Baltimore Ravens 44-10 in Week 5. Houston cruised past the 1-point spread as a road favorite, with the Over 41 easily hitting. QB C.J. Stroud delivered a strong performance, throwing for 244 yards and 4 touchdowns.

The Seahawks earned a convincing 20-10 victory on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6, covering the 1-point spread as the Under 47.5 cashed. QB Sam Darnold continued his efficient play, passing for 295 yards and 2 touchdowns.

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Texans at Seahawks prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 87.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

If last season was Smith-Njigba’s breakout, this year has been his takeover. The Seahawks star entered Week 7 leading the NFL with 696 receiving yards, clearing his 87.5-yard prop line in 5 of 6 games. His elite chemistry with Darnold, who owns one of the league’s most efficient passing rates, continues to drive Seattle’s explosive offense.

Smith-Njigba has registered a catch of 36+ yards in every game, giving him multiple paths to cash this Over. Even against Houston’s disciplined secondary, his speed and route precision make him nearly uncoverable. He’s averaging 116 yards per game, almost 30 more than this week’s total.

He finished with 8 catches for 162 yards last week against Jacksonville. The fact that Darnold is targeting him on over 36% of dropbacks, this Over seems more than reachable on Monday night.

Texans TE Dalton Schultz OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS (-115)

With Houston’s season teetering, Schultz has become a crucial safety valve for Stroud — and that makes his receptions prop a strong Over play Monday night. Schultz has 5 receptions in 3 straight games and is averaging close to 4 catches per outing this season.

With WR Christian Kirk sidelined, Stroud will likely lean even more on his tight end when pressured by Seattle’s aggressive pass rush. Schultz owns an 18–20% target share and consistently works open on short and intermediate routes, particularly on third downs.

The Seahawks’ defense has been stingy against perimeter receivers but vulnerable over the middle, allowing high catch totals to opposing tight ends. With space available underneath and Schultz’s reliable hands (21 receptions on 27 targets), the Over on his receptions prop is the smart move for Monday night.

MNF: Best ML, ATS and O/U bets

Texans QB C.J. Stroud UNDER 225.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)

Stroud is in for a tough night on Monday. Seattle’s defense is finally healthy — with DB Devon Witherspoon and S Julian Love both active — and that secondary just held Jacksonville to 6 points through 3 quarters. Add in a roaring Lumen Field crowd and an elite pass rush, and this looks like a long evening for the Houston quarterback.

Stroud has topped his passing yards prop just once all season, averaging 215.2 yards per game, 10 yards below Monday’s line. He’s been held Under in 3 of 5 contests, and his efficiency has dipped as the Texans’ offense has leaned more on short throws.

Without Kirk and facing relentless pressure, expect Stroud to check down often and struggle to produce explosive plays. The Under on his passing yards prop is the sharp side here.

Seahawks QB Sam Darnold OVER 221.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)

Darnold’s passing yardage Over is one of the best plays for Monday night. He’s cleared this mark in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 257 yards per outing, well above his prop line of 221.5 yards. Even in the lone miss, he threw for 218 yards in a blowout win.

Seattle’s offense plays fast and leans heavily on play-action, which sets up Darnold for steady volume. The Texans’ defense, while strong against the run, has been more vulnerable through the air, especially between the hashes. That should open up easy completions to Smith-Njigba and Schultz working the middle of the field.

With Houston likely selling out to slow Seattle’s backfield, Darnold should again flirt with 250+ yards. The Over 221.5 passing yards is the sharp side on Monday night.

Seahawks TE AJ Barner OVER 25.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

Barner’s receiving yards looks juicy to me on Monday night. The Seattle tight end has been Over this number in 5 straight games, catching at least 3 passes in each of the last 3. He’s becoming a bigger part of the offense, setting new season highs in receiving yards in consecutive weeks.

Barner posted 71 yards on 3 catches against Jacksonville, including a 61-yard catch-and-run, proving his big-play upside. With an 11% target share and an average of 34.2 receiving yards per game, his involvement continues to grow as Seattle expands its passing attack.

He’s averaging 12+ yards per catch and getting more vertical looks from Darnold. Given his explosive efficiency, one early chunk play could be all it takes to cash the Over.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks best prop bets for Monday Night Football

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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