Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) scrambles against the Cincinnati Bengals during the first half at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.

The Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) on Sunday Night Football as QB Aaron Rodgers faces his former team for the first time. Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Packers vs. Steelers odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Packers failed to cover as 7-point favorites last week at the Arizona Cardinals, but came away with a 27-23 victory. QB Jordan Love was 19-for-29 for 179 yards, 1 TD and 0 INTs. RB Josh Jacobs touched paydirt twice with 13 carries for 55 yards and the 2 TDs. The Packers have an NHL-esque 1-1-1 record on the road.

The Steelers fell 33-31 in a heartbreaker at the Cincinnati Bengals last week as Bengals QB Joe Flacco led the team on a late, go-ahead drive. The Steelers were 5.5-point favorites as the Over 45 cleared. Rodgers went 23-for-34 for 249 yards, 4 TDs and 2 picks. TE Pat Freiermuth went for 5 catches for 111 yards and 2 TDs. RB Jaylen Warren rushed 16 times for 127 yards.

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Packers at Steelers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Packers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Steelers +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -3 (-102) | Steelers +3 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets

Packers at Steelers key injuries

Packers

  • WR Matthew Golden (hip) questionable
  • PK Brandon McManus (quadriceps) questionable
  • WR Christian Watson (knee) questionable
  • WR Dontayvion Wicks (calf) out
  • DT Devonte Wyatt (knee) questionable

Steelers

  • C Zach Frazier (calf) questionable
  • WR Scotty Miller (finger) out

Packers at Steelers picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 24, Packers 20

Moneyline

The Packers are banged up, and Rodgers is playing well. He has thrown for 200+ yards in 3 straight weeks, and he has 7 TDs to 2 INTs during that stretch. What has changed? His protection and quick-decision making. He has been sacked 2 times in the last 4 games. That will be an emphasis with LBs Micah Parsons and Rashan Gary rushing off the edges.

Rodgers had this date circled the moment he signed with Pittsburgh in the offseason, and for the value at home, give me the STEELERS (+130).

Against the spread

No thanks on the spread since we're taking value on the ML. Here's a sneaky good prop option: KENNETH GAINWELL OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (-110). We mentioned the pressure coming off the edges, and TEs Jonnu Smith and Freiermuth will have to chip those rushers more on the line. That will open up short passes to RBs. Warren's number is 3.5, so the books are on this same wavelength. He'll be used a lot to run, though, and Gainwell has 3+ catches in 4 of 6 games.

Over/Under

It's slated to be in the low-40s in Pittsburgh, and I look for an old-fashioned, smashmouth game. A lot of running and short passes, which will grind the clock down. Give me the UNDER 45.5 (-110). We're projecting a close call here, so maybe only go with a half-unit. But some books have already gone down to an even 45.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Ryan Dodson, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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