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Tuesday’s balloting may well yield a socialist mayor in New York City , two pragmatic Democratic governors in New Jersey and Virginia, and a seal of approval from California voters for Democrats to pursue nakedly partisan gerrymandering .

Election Day 2025 may also give the United States some big hints about how next year’s midterms might go. With House Republicans defending the narrowest of majorities next year, both parties are watching closely to see what to glean about the electorate from returns on Tuesday, including a special election in a reliably Democratic district in Texas to replace the late Rep. Sylvester Turner.

Here’s what to watch for i

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