A seven-year contract request doesn’t usually send shockwaves through the winter rumor mill, but when it comes from Pete Alonso, it lands differently. The New York Mets know his value better than anyone, yet they also understand the league’s hesitation.

Power ages in unpredictable ways, and front offices have spent the last decade convincing themselves they can chart that decline with spreadsheets and precedent. Still, it’s hard to look at Alonso’s track record and not wonder if someone will eventually break from the pack and simply bet on the bat.

A Market Cooler Than Alonso Expected

The offseason opened with Alonso making his intentions clear. He wants a long-term home. He wants security. He wants the type of commitment stars of his stature often get when they hit the open market at t

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