House Speaker Mike Johnson ’s (R-LA) razor-thin majority is expected to shrink after Tuesday’s special election in Virginia , where the Democratic candidate is likely to sail to victory to finish the term of the late Rep. Gerry Connolly.

James Walkinshaw, a Democrat who served as Connolly’s chief of staff and is currently a Fairfax County Board of Supervisors member, is likely to defeat Republican Stewart Whitson, a former FBI special agent and Army veteran.

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Connolly, a longtime congressman who died in May , won reelection to his district by 34 poin

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