Updated at 9:45 a.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025

The National Hurricane Center has bumped up the odds that at least a tropical depression will form in the Caribbean this week. They now have chances in the high-medium range, which is in line with the consensus of the computer forecasts.

The tropical disturbance we've been following on its trek from Africa will cross the southeastern Caribbean islands – the Windward Islands – today and into tomorrow. The outer bands of the developing system extend about as far north as Guadeloupe and south through the Windward Islands to Trinidad.

Winds have been measured by satellite gusting to near tropical storm strength, and there's plenty of moisture to produce heavy downpours. The system doesn't have a full, closed circulation, so it's not designate

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