The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance for tropical development during the next seven days to a tropical wave labeled as Invest 98L. This tropical wave moves fast eastward at 20 to 25 mph. Currently, thunderstorms and some winds are impacting the Windward Islands, and the waves are slowly showing signs of organization.

During the next two days, conditions here are expected to become more favorable for the gradual development of the system. The next name on the list is Melissa.

Keep in mind that without a well-defined center of circulation, models usually struggle with grasping a reliable track. Once a depression or tropical storm forms, the following set of model runs becomes more reliable.

The system is expected to lose speed over the Caribbean, and it will likely be th

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