The odds are astronomically high that California voters will ratify Proposition 50, Gov. Gavin Newsom’s scheme to grab five more congressional seats for his Democratic Party.

However, passage may have little or no impact on next year’s congressional elections since it merely offsets the five-seat grab that Texas Republicans enacted earlier at President Donald Trump’s behest.

What happens vis-à-vis redistricting in other states, particularly those controlled by Republicans, is more likely to determine the 2026 election’s parameters by either enhancing or reducing Republican chances of maintaining their very slim House majority.

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