We’re starting to hit our stride with another 6-4 week in the books for Week 14, which has given us a little cushion in the season-long record. Part of the recent success has been a minor tweak in the formula, but we’re also just trusting good defenses to perform even in mediocre spots, which is exactly what allowed teams like the Texans, Eagles, Lions, and Rams to deliver usable performances this week.
I’m doubling down on that even more in the fantasy playoffs, and that’s exactly why I faded the Commanders so hard last week. I can’t put my fantasy season in the hands of a bad defense just because I like their matchup. The risk is too high. If you play a solid defense like the Steelers or Bucs and they let you down, you’re probably getting 5-7 points. If you play bad defenses and they do

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