The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Atlanta Falcons in one of the most important Thursday Night Football games of the season. The Bucs are tied with the Carolina Panthers atop the NFC South, recording a 7-6 record thus far. The Falcons only own a 4-9 record through 13 games, but they can play spoiler here.

This is a game that simply lines up well for Tampa Bay. They’re a pass funnel defense, as teams are running roughly 40% of the time against them. Teams are throwing at the sixth-highest rate (60%) against them in 2025.

This is an Atlanta offense that goes with their run game, though. Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season , leaving Kirk Cousins to try to lead the offense. They’re also without Drake London, who is their best receiver by a wide margin.

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